TenzaOne Dashboard


Current and Forecast
Carbon Credit Values
EU ETS & EEC / REC Voluntary Markets

Interactive Carbon Markets Dashboard

Interactive Carbon Markets Dashboard

Exploring Trends, Prices, Projections, and SDG Synergies

Voluntary Market: REC Insights

This section focuses on Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs) in the voluntary market. The chart uses Tenza's "medium-low" scenario, starting near $6.0/tCO₂e in 2019, with fluctuations, and around $8.0/tCO₂e in 2023. It's projected to reach approximately $85/tCO₂e by 2035 from an adjusted $7.0/tCO₂e in 2024.

Current Indicative Price Range (late May 2025): $0.00 - $0.00 /tCO₂e

Chart data uses Tenza's provided historical medium-low scenario for voluntary credits.

Voluntary Market: EEC & Removal Insights

This covers Energy Efficiency & Carbon Removal Projects. The chart uses Tenza's "medium-high" scenario, beginning around $10.0/tCO₂e in 2019, and at approximately $15.0/tCO₂e in 2023. It's projected to reach approximately $120/tCO₂e by 2035 from an adjusted $13.0/tCO₂e in 2024.

Current Indicative Price Range (late May 2025): $0.00 - $0.00 /tCO₂e

Chart data uses Tenza's provided historical medium-high scenario for voluntary credits.

EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) Insights

EU ETS prices are for EU Allowances (EUAs) in the compliance market. Historical data reflects prices from approximately €25/tCO₂e in 2019 to €83.5/tCO₂e in 2023. Forecasts project a rise to approximately €194/tCO₂e by 2035 after a near-term adjustment.

Current Indicative Price (late May 2025): €0.00 /tCO₂e (0.0%)

Chart data uses Tenza's provided historical figures and forecast.

Corporate Activity: High-End REC & EEC/Removal Markets

This section provides illustrative examples of buyers and sellers operating in the higher-value segments of the voluntary carbon market, focusing on premium RECs and high-quality EEC/Removal projects (e.g., Verra or Gold Standard certified). Data from sources like Ecosystem Marketplace and Verra project information inform these examples.

High-End Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs)

Corporations often procure high-quality RECs to meet renewable energy goals (e.g., RE100 commitments) or to support impactful projects. These can be sourced via Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) or from providers specializing in RECs with strong additionality or co-benefits (e.g., GoldPower label from Gold Standard).

Sellers/Providers:

  • Project Developers: Companies developing new wind, solar projects (e.g., NextEra Energy Resources, Ørsted, Enel Green Power).
  • Specialized REC Marketers: Firms aggregating RECs with specific attributes (e.g., Schneider Electric, 3Degrees, NativeEnergy).

Buyers:

  • Tech Companies: Google, Microsoft, Apple, Meta (via PPAs or direct procurement).
  • Consumer Goods & Retail: Unilever, IKEA, Walmart (for value chain targets).

Indicative Price Points (Premium RECs): Can range from $5 - $20+/tCO₂e equivalent, highly dependent on contract terms and project specifics.

High-Quality EEC & Carbon Removal Projects

Demand is increasing for carbon credits from projects with robust verification, clear additionality, permanence, and significant co-benefits (e.g., Verra CCB, Gold Standard). This includes energy efficiency, fuel switching, and especially carbon removal projects.

Sellers/Project Developers:

  • Specialized Carbon Project Developers: Climate Impact Partners (developing diverse project portfolios).
  • Conservation Organizations & Land Managers: The Nature Conservancy, forestry companies (for ARR projects).

Buyers:

  • Corporations with Net-Zero Targets: Shopify, Stripe, Microsoft (removal programs), Boston Consulting Group.
  • Finance & Aviation: Financial institutions, airlines (for CORSIA or voluntary offsetting).

Indicative Price Points (High-Quality Avoidance/Removal):
- Premium Avoidance: $15 - $50/tCO₂e.
- Nature-Based Removals (ARR): $20 - $80+/tCO₂e.

Source indications: General price ranges and project types informed by reports from Ecosystem Marketplace, Climate Focus, and project listings on Verra's registry. Specific corporate transactions are often private.

Carbon Credits & UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

Carbon offset projects can deliver significant benefits beyond emissions reduction, contributing to the United Nations' Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). These "co-benefits" enhance the overall impact of climate action and are increasingly valued by buyers seeking holistic sustainability outcomes.

What are SDG Co-benefits?

The 17 SDGs provide a shared blueprint for peace and prosperity for people and the planet. Carbon projects can align with multiple SDGs, such as:

  • SDG 1 (No Poverty): Job creation, income diversification for local communities.
  • SDG 2 (Zero Hunger): Sustainable agriculture practices, improved food security.
  • SDG 3 (Good Health & Well-being): Reduced air pollution from cleaner energy, improved sanitation.
  • SDG 4 (Quality Education): Funding for local schools from project revenues.
  • SDG 5 (Gender Equality): Empowerment of women through new roles and opportunities.
  • SDG 6 (Clean Water & Sanitation): Protection of watersheds, improved water access.
  • SDG 7 (Affordable & Clean Energy): Access to renewable energy.
  • SDG 8 (Decent Work & Economic Growth): Local employment in project activities.
  • SDG 13 (Climate Action): Direct emissions reductions or removals.
  • SDG 15 (Life on Land): Biodiversity conservation, habitat restoration.

Project Types & SDG Impact

Different carbon project types inherently support different SDGs:

  • Renewable Energy (REC/EEC): Directly supports SDG 7 (Clean Energy) and SDG 13 (Climate Action). Can also contribute to SDG 3 (Health) by reducing fossil fuel pollution and SDG 8 (Economic Growth) through green jobs.
  • Energy Efficiency (EEC): Contributes to SDG 7, SDG 12 (Responsible Consumption and Production), and SDG 13. Can lower energy costs, benefiting SDG 1 (No Poverty).
  • Forestry & Land Use (ARR, REDD+): Strong links to SDG 15 (Life on Land), SDG 13. Often deliver significant benefits for SDG 1 (Poverty), SDG 2 (Hunger) through sustainable livelihoods, SDG 6 (Water), and SDG 8 (Work).
  • Community-based Projects (e.g., clean cookstoves, water filters): High impact on SDG 3 (Health), SDG 5 (Gender Equality - reducing women's time on fuel collection), SDG 1 (Poverty), and SDG 7.

Verification & Value

Standards like Verra's Climate, Community & Biodiversity (CCB) Standards and the Gold Standard for the Global Goals explicitly verify these co-benefits. Projects certified to these higher standards often command a price premium in the voluntary market, as buyers increasingly seek credits that deliver broader sustainable development impacts alongside climate mitigation.

Overview of Carbon Credit Markets

This dashboard offers a consolidated view of key carbon credit markets, presenting historical price trends, current indicative pricing snapshots, and future projections. We focus on three main areas:

  • EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS): A major regulated compliance market driving decarbonization in Europe.
  • Voluntary Market - Renewable Energy Certificates (REC): Highlighting RECs used in voluntary offsetting, where prices reflect project attributes and additionality.
  • Voluntary Market - Energy Efficiency & Carbon Removal Projects (EEC & Removal): Covering credits from energy efficiency initiatives and a range of high-quality avoidance and carbon removal projects, which often command premium pricing.

Additionally, the "Corporate Activity" tab provides illustrative examples of how organizations engage with the higher-value segments of the voluntary carbon markets, and the "SDG Synergies" tab explores co-benefits. The dashboard aims to provide clarity on the distinct characteristics and valuation trends within these diverse market segments.

Methodology & Data Approach

The data and visualizations presented are compiled to reflect recognized trends and potential future scenarios, informed by publicly available information from established industry sources.

Chart Data (Historical & Projected):

All charts depicting historical trends (2019-2023), the 2024 market adjustment, and future projections (2025-2035) are based on the specific datasets provided by Tenza for this dashboard. For more details on our estimation process, please see our Methods for Project Carbon Offset Estimations.

  • EU ETS: Historical data reflects the evolution of EU Allowances (EUAs) under regulatory drivers. Projections consider anticipated tightening of emissions caps and market maturity.
  • REC Market: Chart data uses Tenza's "medium-low" scenario for voluntary credits.
  • EEC & Removal Market: Chart data uses Tenza's "medium-high" scenario for voluntary credits, reflecting the typical premium for these project types.

Current Indicative Prices:

The "Current Price" and "Current Indicative Price Range" figures displayed on the dashboard are static values. These are based on general market information and data from relevant exchanges (like EEX for EU ETS) and market reports (like those from Ecosystem Marketplace or other carbon market analysts) available as of late May 2025. These current price indicators do not auto-update and serve as a recent snapshot.

Primary Data Source References

The general market context, types of data, and analytical approaches presented in this dashboard are informed by information typically available from the following reputable sources in the carbon and energy markets:

  • European Energy Exchange (EEX)
  • European Environment Agency (EEA)
  • Ecosystem Marketplace
  • Verra (Verified Carbon Standard)
  • Ember Climate
  • Climate Focus

Disclaimer:

As per Tenza and TenzaOne Terms of Use, the illustrative data, historical trends, and projections presented are based on datasets provided by Tenza and general information from the stated independent 3rd Party sources. This dashboard is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or recommendations. Market prices are subject to constant change. "Current Prices" displayed are indicative static values based on information available as of late May 2025 and will not automatically update.

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