Project Credits Simulator

Project Credits Simulator v1.5.0

Scope note: This calculator models carbon project credit cashflows only (EEC/REC issuance, revenue, vesting). Equity, SAFE, and convertible offers are exit-driven and are not modelled here — use the Project Finance Calculator for those structures. Equity offers are mutually exclusive with the carbon-project instrument mix.

Project:

VCS: — Stage: — Developer: — View ↗

Source: LIVE

Tier:

CCY:

REC units: EF

Outlook: Haircut %

EUA —

GEO —

N-GEO —

GO —

I-REC —

V-REC —

EEC —

CCUS —

TES —

BAT —

REC Assumptions

Annual emission reductions (tCO₂e) Crediting period (years) Initial investment (EUR) Annual O&M (% of capex) Discount rate (%) Credits for sale (%)

Financial Projections

IRR

—

NPV

—

Payback

—

Total revenue

—

Investor Inputs (REC)

Investor stake of offered credits (%)

Total @ Today price

—

Total @ Forecast

—

Price CAGR

—

Per-Year Valuation — Today vs Forecast

Each year's tranche valued at today's price (flat) vs the forecast price of that year.

Voluntary: REC (Med-Low)

Voluntary: EEC / Removal (Med-High)

Compliance: EU ETS

REC Projects & SDG Synergies

SDG 7: More renewables displacing fossil power.
SDG 13: Verified reductions, market signal for clean power.
SDG 11: Cleaner air & resilient grids.

EEC Assumptions

Annual carbon credits (tCO₂e) Annual energy savings (EUR) Crediting period (years) Initial investment (EUR) Annual O&M (% of capex) Discount rate (%) Credits for sale (%)

Financial Projections

IRR

—

NPV

—

Payback

—

Total revenue

—

Investor Inputs (EEC)

Investor stake of offered credits (%)

Total @ Today price

—

Total @ Forecast

—

Price CAGR

—

Per-Year Valuation — Today vs Forecast

Each year's tranche valued at today's price (flat) vs the forecast price of that year.

Voluntary: EEC / Removal (Med-High)

Compliance: EU ETS

EEC Projects & SDG Synergies

SDG 9: Industrial modernisation, AI/dMRV.
SDG 12: Resource efficiency & demand-side abatement.
SDG 7: "First fuel" energy efficiency.

CCUS Assumptions VM0049 · Industrial CCS

Annual CO₂ captured (tCO₂e) Crediting period (years) Initial investment (EUR) Annual O&M (% of capex) Discount rate (%) Credits for sale (%)

Pricing: bilateral offtake $30–80/t · 45Q floor $60–85/t (US) · no liquid spot market

Financial Projections

IRR

—

NPV

—

Payback

—

Total revenue

—

Investor Inputs (CCUS)

Investor stake of offered credits (%)

Total @ Today price

—

Total @ Forecast

—

Price CAGR

—

Per-Year Valuation — Today vs Forecast

Each year's tranche valued at today's price (flat) vs the forecast price of that year.

CCUS / Industrial CCS (VM0049)

Compliance: EU ETS

CCUS Projects & SDG Synergies

SDG 9: Industrial innovation — point-source capture at cement, steel, refining facilities.
SDG 13: Hard-to-abate sector decarbonisation; permanent geological storage.
SDG 11: Cleaner industrial zones, reduced local air pollutants alongside CO₂.

VM0049 (Verra, June 2024): modular CCS methodology covering geological storage, CO₂ utilisation, and transport pathways. 45Q tax credit provides a $60–85/t USD policy floor in the US.

Thermal Energy Storage Assumptions AMS-II.C · AMS-III.AE · ACM0014 (adj.)

Annual emission reductions (tCO₂e) Crediting period (years) Initial investment (EUR) Annual O&M (% of capex) Discount rate (%) Credits for sale (%)

Pricing: $6–9/t standard · $10–14/t IoT-verified · $14–18+/t DePIN data-anchored · TenzaHeat/Climatenza integrated stack

Financial Projections

IRR

—

NPV

—

Payback

—

Total revenue

—

Investor Inputs (TES)

Investor stake of offered credits (%)

Total @ Today price

—

Total @ Forecast

—

Price CAGR

—

Per-Year Valuation — Today vs Forecast

Each year's tranche valued at today's price (flat) vs the forecast price of that year.

Thermal Energy Storage Credits

Voluntary: REC (Med-Low)

Thermal Energy Storage & SDG Synergies

SDG 7: Affordable & Clean Energy — storing surplus renewable heat makes clean thermal energy dispatchable.
SDG 9: Industry & Innovation — core to industrial-heat decarbonisation (cement, chemical, food processing).
SDG 12: Responsible Consumption — reduces fossil-fuel boiler runtime through load-shifting.

AMS-II.C · AMS-III.AE · ACM0014 (adj.): metered charge/discharge cycles, round-trip efficiency, displaced fossil-fuel baseline. TES is a natural fit for TenzaHeat + Climatenza solar-thermal stacks — DePIN-native temperature, flow, and dispatch telemetry anchor the verifiability premium.

Coming in Phase 2

💧 Water Benefit Certificates (WBCs) — adjacent certificate class: Gold Standard water restoration / access / quality projects.
♨ Methane / Waste-to-Energy — 28–84× CO₂e multiplier; ACM0001 · AMS-III.H · AMS-III.D; DePIN gas-flow verification.

Battery / Grid Storage Assumptions Verra draft storage · CDM grid EF (emerging)

Annual emission reductions (tCO₂e) Crediting period (years) Initial investment (EUR) Annual O&M (% of capex) Discount rate (%) Credits for sale (%)

Pricing: $5–8/t standard · $8–11/t IoT-verified · $11–15+/t DePIN data-anchored · SOC + dispatch-timing telemetry required

Financial Projections

IRR

—

NPV

—

Payback

—

Total revenue

—

Investor Inputs (Battery)

Investor stake of offered credits (%)

Total @ Today price

—

Total @ Forecast

—

Price CAGR

—

Per-Year Valuation — Today vs Forecast

Each year's tranche valued at today's price (flat) vs the forecast price of that year.

Battery / Grid Storage Credits

Voluntary: REC (Med-Low)

Battery / Grid Storage & SDG Synergies

SDG 7: Affordable & Clean Energy — unlocks higher renewable grid penetration by time-shifting surplus generation.
SDG 9: Industry & Innovation — emerging storage methodology; DePIN dispatch-timing telemetry solves peaker-avoidance attribution.
SDG 12: Responsible Consumption — avoids marginal fossil-peaker dispatch; reduces curtailment of renewables.
SDG 13: Climate Action — direct hourly attribution of avoided grid emissions.

Verra draft storage methodologies and CDM grid emission factor frameworks: baseline = hourly marginal emission factor; monitoring = per-cycle MWh in / out + SOC + round-trip efficiency. Emerging methodology scarcity + MRV-intensive verification justify the tier premium for DePIN-monitored projects.

Coming in Phase 2

💧 Water Benefit Certificates (WBCs) — adjacent certificate class.
♨ Methane / Waste-to-Energy — 28–84× CO₂e multiplier; DePIN gas-flow verification.

India Carbon Credit Trading Scheme CCTS · phased-live · first session mid-2026

India's Carbon Credit Trading Scheme (CCTS) is the country's new domestic compliance carbon market, operated under a three-body structure: MoEFCC notifies sector intensity targets (via the Environment Protection Act 1986), BEE administers the scheme + issues Carbon Credit Certificates (CCCs) + operates the registry, and CERC regulates trading on accredited power exchanges. The scheme covers 9 sectors, ~740 obligated entities, and ~700 Mt CO₂e — roughly 16% of India's emissions.

Sectors

Entities

~740

Covered CO₂e

~700 Mt

Baseline

FY 23-24

1 CCC

= 1 tCO₂e

Covered sectors

Aluminium · Cement · Chlor-alkali · Paper & Pulp · Petrochemical · Petroleum Refinery · Textile (Iron & Steel and Fertiliser — notification status as of April 2026 unconfirmed). Power generation is NOT in Phase 1 — a notable gap.

Trading venues & settlement

Order-book trading on IEX / HPX / PXIL (all CERC-accredited). MCX is NOT accredited. Settlement in INR. Indicative price band ~₹800–1,200/t (no gazetted floor/ceiling yet). First trading session expected mid-2026.

Sources: ICAP ETS Map · BEE notifications (Oct 2025 / Jan 2026) · CERC accredited-venues list · IETA India CCTS Business Brief (July 2025).

CCC vs CCC-V vs EScert — what each is, who issues, who trades

Indian project developers have three routes. Which one fits depends on whether the host entity is CCTS-obligated, whether the buyer needs international claim credibility, and how much legacy-PAT exposure sits on the balance sheet.

CCC — Compliance INDIC

~€11/t

Indicative — first session expected mid-2026

Issued by: BEE against sector intensity target
Traded on: IEX · HPX · PXIL (INR)
Eligible: CCTS-obligated entity outperforming target
Foreign claim value: ❌ Not without Article 6 corresponding adjustment

CCC-V — Voluntary LIVE

~€6/t

Voluntary EE-floor midpoint

Issued by: BEE voluntary mechanism (launched March 2025)
Methodologies: 8 at v1 release
Eligible: Non-obligated Indian project developers
Alternative to: Verra / Gold Standard international voluntary

EScert — Legacy LEGACY

~€3/unit

PAT historic trading range

Scheme: PAT (2012–2024), winding down
Throughput: 1.5M of 3.8M ESCerts Cycle I traded (poor)
Migration: Surplus convertible to CCC at a to-be-gazetted ratio
Owner action: Track surplus for the conversion opportunity

Double-counting flag — VCMI Code, Aug 2025

A project cannot issue BOTH a VCU (international voluntary) AND a CCC (Indian compliance) from the same tCO₂e reduction — buyer-side claims would clash. When a host is CCTS-obligated, the tCO₂e must be attributed to either the compliance ledger or the voluntary ledger. TenzaOne's Scope 3 Export flags this automatically via its doubleCountingRisk field.

Quick Revenue Estimator today's-price only · no IRR/NPV yet

Annual emission reductions (tCO₂e) Track Tier multiplier Crediting period (years)

Today's-price projection only. Full IRR/NPV forecasting waits on post-launch price discovery. For richer per-project modelling today, use the REC / EEC / CCUS / TES / Battery tabs.

Estimated revenue

Annual revenue

—

Crediting-period total

—

Effective price / tCO₂e

—

CCC fallback price is indicative pending first trading session (mid-2026). Admin can override via wp option update tenza_feed_price_ccc X. When the admin override is set, terminal + MID + this simulator all pick up the new value on next page load.

India CCTS & SDG Synergies

SDG 13: Climate Action — domestic compliance cap mobilises ~700 Mt CO₂e of industrial abatement against sector intensity targets.
SDG 9: Industry, Innovation & Infrastructure — 9 hard-to-abate sectors (cement / aluminium / chlor-alkali / petchem / steel / textile / refinery) directly incentivised to decarbonise.
SDG 11: Sustainable Cities — supports cleaner industrial clusters and PM/NOx co-reductions alongside CO₂.
SDG 7: (CCC-V track) — voluntary mechanism adds domestic route for clean-energy projects below compliance threshold.

TenzaOne positioning: dMRV is ACV-Agency-compatible and registry-complementary, NEVER a registry replacement. DePIN telemetry supplies underlying M&V evidence; ACV Agencies verify and sign; BEE issues. The blockchain anchor adds auditable provenance the ACV process can optionally cite. CCTS explicitly encourages dMRV as best practice even though it does not mandate it.

Deeper reading

Project to Credits — India CCTS tab → (full flow + CCTS-vs-VCM developer Q&A)
Carbon Markets widget — India CCTS deep dive →
DePIN stack → (how TenzaOne dMRV integrates)

Feeds & Endpoints

Primary endpoint: /wp-json/tenza/v1/prices (Auto tries relative; falls back to https://tenza.one/wp-json/tenza/v1/prices).

Project data: /wp-json/wp/v2/tenza_project (loads meta: emissions, funding, scores, stage, tech type).

Venues: ICE (EUA), CME (GEO / N-GEO), EEX (GO); I-REC registry (regional indications); EEC modeled.

FX: ECB euro reference (cached daily).

Methodology

Forecast outlook: Conservative/Base/Optimistic scale the 2035 multiplier path and apply a sale-realisation haircut; small discount-rate nudge reflects risk.

REC pricing: V-REC/GO/I-REC converted to selected units (MWh or tCO₂e-eq via EF) and currency; tier factor applies to REC/EEC classes.

Financials: All internal calculations in the selected currency. Annual net flow = (credit revenue × (1−haircut) + optional savings) − O&M. KPIs: IRR (Newton-Raphson), NPV and discounted payback at your rate.

Currency handling: Capex, O&M and savings are all in the selected currency. Credit prices are converted from their native currency via ECB rates.

Standards & Registries

Primary standards: Verra (VCS) & Gold Standard. Tool is Verra-first but surfaces Gold Standard context where relevant.

Market intel: See AlliedOffsets (market/registry analytics) and Gold Standard Dashboard for reference data and methodologies.

Demo Data

When LIVE is unavailable or Demo is selected, seeded baselines are used for tickers and trends so charts never render blank. Badges above clearly show DEMO.

Project selector fetches live data from the WordPress REST API. If the API is unreachable, the selector is hidden and manual inputs remain fully functional.